Premiere Agrees with Me

Anne Thompson from Premiere magazine has made her Oscar nomination predictions...and the best picture field mirrors the predictions I made on November 16. Sacha Stone said over at; "Thompson's choices there are very interesting, and definitely do not follow the general consensus."

Which makes me happy because A) somebody major agrees with me and B) I said it first.

And has anyone else noticed that in their Oscar frontrunner sidebar on Oscarwatch, they have Home for Purim and its lead actors Marilyn Hack and Victor Allen Miller, the fictional movie and stars from Christopher Guest's Oscar buzz satire For Your Consideration listed? It made me smile.

Anyway, here are Thompson's picks:

Best Picture Frontrunners - Babel, The Departed, Dreamgirls, Flags of Our Fathers, The Queen
Long shots: Little Children, Little Miss Sunshine, The Painted Veil, The Pursuit of Happyness, United 93, Volver, World Trade Center

Director Frontrunners: Bill Condon, Clint Eastwood, Steven Frears, Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Martin Scorsese.
Long shots: Pedro Almodovar, Guillermo Del Toro, Todd Field, Paul Greengrass

Actor Frontrunners: Leo DiCaprio, Ryan Gosling, Peter O'Toole, Will Smith, Forest Whitaker
Long shots:Nicolas Cage, Matt Damon, Derek Luke

Actress Frontrunners: Annette Bening, Penelope Cruz, Helen Mirren, Meryl Streep, Kate Winslet
Long shots:Judi Dench, Maggie Gyllenhaal, Ashley Judd, Naomi Watts

Supporting Actor Frontrunners:Adam Beach, Jackie Earle Haley, Eddie Murphy, Jack Nicholson
Long shots:Alan Arkin, Matt Damon, Leo DiCaprio, Djimon Honsou, Michael Pena, Brad Pitt

Supporting Actress Frontrunners:Adriana Barraza, Jill Clayburgh, Jennifer Hudson, Phyllis Somerville, Emma Thompson
Long Shots:Cate Blanchett, Abigail Breslin, Toni Collette, Rinko Kikuchi, Sharon Stone

Animated Feature Frontrunners: Cars, Happy Feet, Monster House, Over the Hedge, Paprika
Long shots: Flushed Away, Ice Age: The Meltdown

I'm going to have to disagree on Judi Dench being a longshot for Notes on a Scandal. She has more of a chance than Annette Bening, whose film has not been favorably reviewed. And Phyllis Somerville for Little Children had no buzz at all before this in the Best Supporting Actress to consider her a frontrunner is out of nowhere and baseless. Little Miss Sunshine's Abigail Breslin should take her place.

But those Best Picture predictions are right on the money.



alas! thompson has already returned to be a folllower of the general consensus. she's now no different from anyone else.

she had naomi watts in the 5th slot all along (how respectable), but now she had taken her out and put usual suspect annette bening back in (sigh!)

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