Wednesday, December 12, 2007

My Golden Globe Predictions

With the notoriously unpredictable Hollywood Foreign Press Association announcing their Golden Globe nominations tomorrow - I thought I would put together some predictions. But I will admit I'm much better at reading the Oscars than the HFPA. But then again, who isn't?

Best Picture Drama
American Gangster
Atonement
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

The Globes often nominate 6 films for Best Picture, and in such a crowded year I don't see why they wouldn't again. If they don't I think it will be at the expense of There Will Be Blood. The HFPA tends to have more mainstream tastes.

Best Picture Comedy or Musical
Charlie Wilson’s War
Enchanted
Hairspray
Juno
Sweeney Todd

I think Charlie Wilson's War will do much better here than at the Oscars. They love musicals, so Hairspray and Sweeney Todd ought to do well, and they can't ignore Juno. And Once, the little movie that could, might slide in. Although I wouldn't be at all surprised to see them go for Knocked Up or Lars and the Real Girl at the expense of Enchanted or Charlie. Or even The Bucket List. Stranger things have happened.

Best Actor - Drama
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Emile Hirsch, Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
Denzel Washingtonm, American Gangster

Best Actress - Drama
Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie, Away From Her
Jodie Foster, The Brave One
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
Keira Knightley, Atonement

Since Marion Cotillard is in the comedy/musical category, that leaves room for Jodie Foster in The Brave One.

Best Actor - Comedy/Musical
Don Cheadle, Talk to Me
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Tom Hanks, Charlie Wilson’s War
Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Savages

There's always one unexpected choice - and this year I'm going for Don Cheadle from Talk to Me. Although I wouldn't be at all surprised to see the star-struck HFPA hand a nomination to The Bucket List's Morgan Freeman or Jack Nicholson. But which one?

Best Actress - Comedy/Musical
Amy Adams, Enchanted
Nikki Blonski, Hairspray
Helena Bonham Carter, Sweeney Todd
Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose
Ellen Page, Juno

It sucks to be in this category this year, since Marion Cotillard was inexplicably put here instead of in the drama category.

Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Tim Burton, Sweeney Todd
Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Joe Wright, Atonement

A toughie. Being a big name with a big film helps, but I think the love for The Diving Bell and the Butterfly will continue here.

Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson’s War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

No real surprises here I don't think, but a nod for Michael Cera for Juno (to award a year's worth of good work...also in Superbad), Paul Dano for There Will Be Blood (I just don't think the HFPA will fall head over heels for it), or John Travolta for Hairspray (they love stuff like this) would not be not shock me.

Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett, I’m Not There
Julia Roberts, Charlie Wilson’s War
Saorsie Ronan, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

The Globes love to award stars for whatever they do, so I think Julia Roberts will sneak in with the usual suspects.

Best Screenplay
Aaron Sorkin, Charlie Wilson’s War
Diablo Cody, Juno
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Joel & Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Tamara Jenkins, The Savages

Another toughie. I think Charlie Wilson's War will make yet another appearance, but they could go for Sean Penn's Into the Wild, because they like when actors multi-task.

Best Foreign Language Film
4 Months, 3 Weeks, & 2 Days
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
The Kite Runner
Lust, Caution
Persepolis

Will the HFPA go for an animated foreign language film? I think it will be hard to ignore. But if they don't, I think The Band's Visit will slip in, since it can't at the Oscars.

Best Animated Feature
Bee Movie
Beowulf
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie

Not really much to say here.

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