My Official 2009 Oscar Predictions

March 03, 2010

My Official 2009 Oscar Predictions

Now, being the indecisive person that I am, I reserve the right to change my mind on any of these before Sunday. If I do, I will announce the changes here. Because The Hurt Locker winning 3 and Avatar winning 5 just doesn't feel right to me. I think we may see a shakeup in the sound categories, but I don't have the guts to officially predict that yet. Anyway, here they are. For my full write-up, click here.

BEST PICTURE

Prediction: “The Hurt Locker”
Preference: “A Serious Man”

BEST DIRECTOR

Prediction/Preference: Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”

BEST ACTOR

Prediction: Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
Preference: Colin Firth, “A Single Man”

BEST ACTRESS

Prediction: Sandra Bullock, “The Blind Side”
Preference: Gabourey Sidibe, “Precious”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Prediction: Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”
Preference: Woody Harrelson, “The Messenger”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Prediction/Preference: Mo’Nique, “Precious”

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Prediction/Preference: "Up in the Air"

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Prediction: “Inglourious Basterds”
Preference: “A Serious Man”

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Prediction: “A Prophet (Un Prophète)”
Preference: “The White Ribbon”

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Prediction: “Up”
Preference: “Fantastic Mr. Fox”

BEST ART DIRECTION

Prediction: “Avatar”
Preference: “Nine”

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Prediction: “Avatar”
Preference: “The White Ribbon”

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Prediction: “The Young Victoria”
Preference: “Coco Before Chanel”

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Prediction/Preference: “The Cove”

BEST FILM EDITING

Prediction/Preference: “The Hurt Locker”

BEST MAKEUP

Prediction/Preference: “Star Trek”

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Prediction: Michael Giacchino, “Up”
Preference: James Horner, “Avatar”

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Prediction/Preference: The Weary Kind, “Crazy Heart”

BEST SOUND EDITING

Prediction: “Avatar”
Preference: “Star Trek”

BEST SOUND MIXING

Prediction: “Avatar”
Preference: “The Hurt Locker”

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Prediction/Preference: “Avatar”

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

Prediction: “A Matter of Loaf and Death”

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

Prediction: “The Door”

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

Prediction: “The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant”

Comments

Anonymous said…

On Art Direction, how did you come to your conclusion? I am having a hard time on this category. In a way I think your right that Avatar might just win most of the technical awards based on the fact that many voters don't really know what's going on. The only proof we need of that is the tendency of the Academy to always award Sound Editing and Sound Mixing to the same film year after year. However since the majority of the set design on the this film is the work of a man behind a computer is it really good art direction, or do you think it will simply be part of a trend to go all Avatar all night in the tech categories? On another note I am a little bit surprised in your preference for Bigelow. Weren't you the one guy, saying that Avatar is a better film the The Hurt Locker. To me not only is Bigelow not worthy of the prize this time, but there is nothing in her body of work that one could call great either.

7:50 PM

Matthew Lucas said…

I agree about AVATAR's art direction, which is why I did not nominate it myself in my own Front Row Awards. I went back and forth on in honestly, but I ended up going with it because I just don't know what would beat it. YOUNG VICTORIA maybe? I just don't see it. And AVATAR is pretty so there's that. I just kept imagining them showing those concept drawings as they announce the nominees as they often do and thinking if you go by that, AVATAR wins.

And yes I did say AVATAR is a better film than THE HURT LOCKER, and I stand by that. But really, how can you not root for Bigelow?

8:15 PM