My Official 2009 Oscar Predictions

Now, being the indecisive person that I am, I reserve the right to change my mind on any of these before Sunday. If I do, I will announce the changes here. Because The Hurt Locker winning 3 and Avatar winning 5 just doesn't feel right to me. I think we may see a shakeup in the sound categories, but I don't have the guts to officially predict that yet. Anyway, here they are. For my full write-up, click here.

BEST PICTUREPrediction: “The Hurt Locker”
Preference: “A Serious Man”

BEST DIRECTORPrediction/Preference: Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”

BEST ACTORPrediction: Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
Preference: Colin Firth, “A Single Man”

BEST ACTRESSPrediction: Sandra Bullock, “The Blind Side”
Preference: Gabourey Sidibe, “Precious”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTORPrediction: Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”
Preference: Woody Harrelson, “The Messenger”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESSPrediction/Preference: Mo’Nique, “Precious”

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAYPrediction/Preference: "Up in the Air"

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAYPrediction: “Inglourious Basterds”
Preference: “A Serious Man”

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILMPrediction: “A Prophet (Un Prophète)”
Preference: “The White Ribbon”

Preference: “Fantastic Mr. Fox”

BEST ART DIRECTIONPrediction: “Avatar”
Preference: “Nine”

Preference: “The White Ribbon”

BEST COSTUME DESIGNPrediction: “The Young Victoria”
Preference: “Coco Before Chanel”

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATUREPrediction/Preference: “The Cove”

BEST FILM EDITINGPrediction/Preference: “The Hurt Locker”

BEST MAKEUPPrediction/Preference: “Star Trek”

BEST ORIGINAL SCOREPrediction: Michael Giacchino, “Up”
Preference: James Horner, “Avatar”

BEST ORIGINAL SONGPrediction/Preference: The Weary Kind, “Crazy Heart”

BEST SOUND EDITINGPrediction: “Avatar”
Preference: “Star Trek”

BEST SOUND MIXINGPrediction: “Avatar”
Preference: “The Hurt Locker”

BEST VISUAL EFFECTSPrediction/Preference: “Avatar”

BEST ANIMATED SHORTPrediction: “A Matter of Loaf and Death”

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORTPrediction: “The Door”

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORTPrediction: “The Last Truck: Closing of a GM Plant”


Anonymous said…
On Art Direction, how did you come to your conclusion? I am having a hard time on this category. In a way I think your right that Avatar might just win most of the technical awards based on the fact that many voters don't really know what's going on. The only proof we need of that is the tendency of the Academy to always award Sound Editing and Sound Mixing to the same film year after year. However since the majority of the set design on the this film is the work of a man behind a computer is it really good art direction, or do you think it will simply be part of a trend to go all Avatar all night in the tech categories? On another note I am a little bit surprised in your preference for Bigelow. Weren't you the one guy, saying that Avatar is a better film the The Hurt Locker. To me not only is Bigelow not worthy of the prize this time, but there is nothing in her body of work that one could call great either.
Mattie Lucas said…
I agree about AVATAR's art direction, which is why I did not nominate it myself in my own Front Row Awards. I went back and forth on in honestly, but I ended up going with it because I just don't know what would beat it. YOUNG VICTORIA maybe? I just don't see it. And AVATAR is pretty so there's that. I just kept imagining them showing those concept drawings as they announce the nominees as they often do and thinking if you go by that, AVATAR wins.

And yes I did say AVATAR is a better film than THE HURT LOCKER, and I stand by that. But really, how can you not root for Bigelow?
Great predictions, and cool blog! Feel we're practically the same name? ha.
Mattie Lucas said…

I got here first, though. ;-)

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