Wednesday, January 21, 2009

FFR Academy Award Predictions

OK here they are, make of them what you will:

BEST PICTURE
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
ALT: Gran Torino, The Reader, Doubt

These five seem pretty well locked. I wish I had the balls to predict a surprise nominee, but I don't. Although I have a feeling that Frost/Nixon is weak, or that The Dark Knight may have to settle for a director nod. But I don't really feel like betting against any of them. Although I've learned never to underestimate Clint Eastwood.

BEST DIRECTOR
Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant, Milk
ALT: Jonathan Demme, Rachel Getting Married, Stephen Daldry, The Reader

Again I feel like Howard's the weak link here. We'll see.

BEST ACTOR
Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
ALT: Richard Jenkins, The Visitor, Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road

BEST ACTRESS
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
ALT: Melissa Leo, Frozen River, Kristen Scott Thomas, I've Loved You So Long

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Josh Brolin, Milk
Robert Downey, Jr., Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Dev Patel, Slumdog Millionaire
ALT: Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road, James Franco, Milk

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
Kate Winslet, The Reader
ALT: Amy Adams, Doubt

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Doubt
Frost/Nixon
Slumdog Millionaire
ALT: The Reader, Revolutionary Road

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Happy-Go-Lucky
Milk
Rachel Getting Married
Synecdoche, New York
WALL-E
ALT: Vicky Cristina Barcelona, The Wrestler

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Kung Fu Panda
WALL-E
Waltz with Bashir

ALT: Bolt

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
The Baader Meinhoff Complex (Germany)
The Class (France)
Everlasting Moments (Sweden)
Three Monkeys (Turkey)
Waltz with Bashir
(Israel)
ALT: Departures (Japan)

That's all I really feel like doing. I really just feel blah about this year's Oscar race. I don't really have a passion for any of these films. Slumdog is by far the favorite of the big contenders, but I'm still holding out hope for a surprise Gran Torino nod. That would change the whole game for me.

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